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Do only people who are slightly crazy fall for conspiracy theories, or are we all vulnerable?

The moon landing was faked. Doctors only peddle vaccines as safe because they are in the pockets of Big Pharma. Barack Obama is a Muslim and a foreigner. George W Bush was responsible for 9/11, or otherwise Zionists did it. Princess Diana was assassinated. HIV doesn't really exist. A cure for cancer was discovered ages back, but pharmaceutical companies are keeping that to themselves so they can make money off chemotherapy. Oh, and scientists go to great lengths to cover up the truth that the Earth really is flat, too.

We could continue. And continue. You almost certainly know someone who believes in one or more of these conspiracy theories, or some others, and may even have fallen for some yourself — about a third of Americans believe the "birther" theory about Obama, after all, and about the same amount sees 9/11 as some kind of "inside job". 

What makes people believe in conspiracy theories? Do you have to be at least a little bit crazy to fall for one?

What Are Conspiracy Theories?

First things first — what makes something a conspiracy theory? According to political scientists Joseph E Uscinski and Joseph M Parent, who together wrote the book American Conspiracy Theories, conspiracy theories have four defining factors. You're talking about:

  1. A group
  2. Acting covertly
  3. To gain power, hide the truth, influence institutions or otherwise further its own interest
  4. Acting contrary to public interest

We should add that conspiracy theories are unproved, or indeed debunked, by nature — were a conspiracy theory to be proven true, it would no longer by a conspiracy theory but a conspiracy fact. It was John Heller, the author of Catch-22, who coined the now famous phrase "just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they aren't after you". Though no mental illness is required to believe in a conspiracy theory, something similar holds true here as well: conspiracy theories aren't false by definition; some that might have seemed rather "out there" are now widely known to be true, and you only have to look towards Watergate to understand that.

Who Is Most Likely To Believe Conspiracy Theories?

Contrary to popular belief, as the aforementioned Uscinski and Parent discovered through surveys, believers in conspiracy theories "cut across gender, age, race, income, political affiliation, educational level, and occupational status". However, the kind of conspiracy theory you end up falling for does depend on who you are. If you're an Obama supporter, you are clearly less likely to believe that he falsified his birth certificate in order to illegally become president of the US, while if you're a doctor you're pretty unlikely to believe that HIV isn't real.

Your likelihood to believe in certain conspiracy theories depends on your political stance, then, as well as on the knowledge you possess. 

Some of this can be explained by the phenomenon of "groupthink"; when a group you are part of counts many members who believe something that is counter-intuitive and unproven, you'll more easily start believing that same thing too than if you aren't exposed to large numbers of people who hold a certain view. 

What's more, people who are under a lot of stress and living in situations where they aren't able to control their own outcomes are more prone to believing in conspiracy theories. Believing in conspiracy theories may, indeed, be a way to create the illusion of some control, a twisted way comfort your mind. 

Education also has a role to play — but not as big a role as you may think. While 42 percent of people without high school diplomas believe in some kind of conspiracy theory, the same holds true for only 23 percent of those with postgraduate degrees. That is, however, still an awful lot of people. 

Conspiracy Theories: The Result Of A Human Desire For Order?

Early man commonly believed that Pagan gods were responsible for creating the changing seasons. They lacked the scientific knowledge that would explain why the things that happened in their world were occurring, but still wanted to make sense of everything around them. Rather than admitting that they didn't know, they sought to understand their reality the best they could with the tools available. 

As a mother, I observe the same tendency in my children. When one of my kids has misplaced a toy and can't find it easily, they quite frequently simply conclude that the other one must have hidden or broken it. If that had not happened, after all, wouldn't they be able to find the toy exactly where they thought they last put it?

That, too, is a mini-conspiracy theory, a theory that assumes covert and nefarious activity on the part of another human, based on no evidence whatsoever — produced simply because it's easier that way.

This brings us to a very uncomfortable truth. Humans like to think of themselves as rational beings with a high capacity for reasoned thought, but too often, we are lazy and turn to easy but unproven and unprovable explanations. Don't understand space? Well, just hang on to the thought that because there's no air out there, sending rockets to the moon is in fact impossible. Afraid of vaccines? Thinking of them as poison intentionally distributed by pharmaceutical companies to kill off undesirables will help you feel good about your choice to not immunize your kids. 

We humans are inherently biased, and inherently programmed to make sense of things we don't understand in any way we can. Conspiracy theories are merely a side effect of this. 

Do You Have To Be Crazy To Believe In Conspiracy Theories, Then?

No. Though, if you believe that your colleagues and your neighbors have all teamed up to conspire against you and kill your cats — as someone I know did, or perhaps still does — you may be suffering from paranoia or some other personality disorder, anyone can come to believe in a conspiracy theory.

It's a combination of lacking understanding, education, groupthink, and lacking control over your life that does it, and those things can happen to us all. Indeed, the internet and local news networks may play a role in forming belief in conspiracy theories as well.

You don't have to be crazy to believe in conspiracy theories, and if you do, you may — in some cases — even be right. If you'd like to try to keep your creative mind in check and attempt to be a rational human, however, reviewing the currently available evidence in a systematic and intentionally neutral manner may help.

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